You know that THE KING OF UPSETS is always looking for teams who have surprised the market in one way or another. If you can catch a surprise team on the way up, you can make a lot of money against stubborn oddsmakers. That's particularly true in baseball because nobody trusts small sample sizes. Of course, you can also make a lot of money fading teams on the way down. We have several teams this season who haven't been nearly as good as expected.

Heading into Memorial Day Weekend seems like a great time to get caught up on those good and bad surprises. Let's take a quick look at betting unit performance through Wednesday's games...

GOOD SURPRISES
Houston +12 units
Kansas City +11 units
St. Louis +11 units
Minnesota +10 units

St. Louis is the only team in that mix that was supposed to win its division this year. In a way, they're the most impressive of the bunch because they've been exceeding the highest preliminary expectations. Minnesota is the single biggest surprise because they were supposed to be an absolute doormat. I can't recall a season where the numbers crunchers misread so many different teams. Houston and Kansas City have been getting more line respect lately. But, you could still argue that the numbers don't reflect this year's level of performance.

That's something you should really keep an eye on. It's possible that these teams will continue squeezing out line value. That's getting harder for the first three because of media coverage. As the NBA winds down...the mainstream media is starting to pay more attention to what's been happening in Houston and Kansas City. Though, they still want to talk about the Yankees, Red Sox, and Cubs most of the time!

Moving forward....the best "June" surprises are likely to be slow starters that the market has given up on. Let's take a quick look at the "bad" early surprises and see if there are any nominees for that line of thinking...

BAD SURPRISES
Oakland -19 units
Cleveland -11 units
Milwaukee -9 units
Pittsburgh -7 units
Toronto -7 units
Seattle -7 units
Colorado -7 units

Wow...a lot of teams down seven units or worse, including projected contenders in a few divisions. The Oakland collapse is mind-boggling. Is Moneyball going bankrupt?! They have a poor defense, and it's killing their pitching. Hopefully you've been taking advantage all season because the trend became apparent early.

Can any of those teams turn it around? I'm not going to give away any secrets because I have to protect client plays going forward. I do have my eye on two of those teams in terms of potential turnarounds. There's a lot of ebb and flow during a baseball season. One mistake that many novices make is that they assume early stats will hold up through the season. This is a sport of constant adjustment. It's better to assume that at least a few slow starters will make changes that get things moving in the right direction.

Oh, we can't forget about Over/Unders!

TOTAL SURPRISES
Oakland 28-12-2 to the Over
Washington 26-14-1 to the Over
San Diego 25-15-1 to the Over
Atlanta 23-14-2 to the Over
LA Dodgers 23-14-2 to the Over
Miami 24-16-2 to the Over

That makes it look like steroids are back! There are a lot of teams who are skewing Under...just not to the extremes we're seeing with that group of Over teams.

The keys to that group are
*The pitching was supposed to be great, and hasn't been...or
*The offenses were supposed to be mediocre or worse, but have done well...or
*Both!

Oakland and San Diego have had disappointing bullpens, which help create Overs because that causes the need for more runs. Games that mind have ended 4-2 or 4-3 are now ending around 6-5 for those teams.

A lesson from all of today's numbers is that the market can be very slow to react to surprises. If oddsmakers see Oakland as a contender that's likely to win low scoring games...it takes FOREVER for them to get out of that mindset. If you bet "opponent and Over" in all Oakland games this season, you'd be up about 34 units! Oakland just passed the 40 game mark in the standings.

With basketball and hockey starting to wind down, many of you are ready to get serious about Major League Baseball betting. You can always purchase my BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my long term programs best suits your individual needs, please talk to my representative in the office at 1-877-ROOT-WINS during normal business hours. I have great packages that take you through the end of the NBA Playoffs in June, or baseball's All-Star Break in July. I'm THE KING OF LAS VEGAS because I win in all sports year round!

Maybe you've been enduring some "bad surprises" with your own handicapping. Maybe you paid too much attention to those stathead preseason publications or the TV pundits. Turn your season around with the only man in the sports betting industry who has a star on the "Walk of Fame" here in Las Vegas. It's time for YOU to go to W.A.R alongside WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!

...

 507 CAVALIERS
 508 HAWKS
5/22/2015 8:30 PM(et)
-1.5
+1.5
198.5 
+2.5
-2.5
196 
+1
-1
196 
+2
-2
196.5 
+2.5
-2.5
196 
 
 509 WARRIORS
 510 ROCKETS
5/23/2015 9:00 PM(et)
 
-1.5
+1.5
215.5 
 
-1
+1
215.5 
-1.5
+1.5
216 
 
 901 PHILLIES
 902 NATIONALS
5/22/2015 7:05 PM(et)
+280
-280
7p 
+248
-270
7u 
+245
-290
7u 
+250
-300
7u 
+240
-280
7u 
 
 903 METS
 904 PIRATES
5/22/2015 7:05 PM(et)
+145
-145
7u 
+150
-160
6.5p 
+143
-158
6.5p 
+140
-160
6.5u 
+147
-157
6.5p 
 
 905 BREWERS
 906 BRAVES
5/22/2015 7:35 PM(et)
+130
-130
7.5u 
+117
-127
7.5u 
+118
-128
7.5u 
+115
-135
7o 
+119
-129
7.5u 
 
 907 GIANTS
 908 ROCKIES
5/22/2015 8:10 PM(et)
-110
+110
10p 
-112
+102
10o 
-112
+102
10o 
-110
-110
10o 
-114
+104
10o 
 
 909 CUBS
 910 DIAMONDBACKS
5/22/2015 9:40 PM(et)
-140
+140
8.5u 
-139
+129
8o 
-140
+130
8o 
-140
+120
8.5u 
-139
+129
8o 
 
 911 PADRES
 912 DODGERS
5/22/2015 10:10 PM(et)
+170
-170
6.5u 
+178
-188
6.5o 
+170
-190
6.5o 
+160
-180
6.5o 
+173
-188
6.5o 
 
 913 ASTROS
 914 TIGERS
5/22/2015 7:08 PM(et)
+110
-110
8p 
-114
+104
8o 
-110
even
8o 
-115
-105
8o 
-113
+103
8o 
 
 915 RANGERS
 916 YANKEES
5/22/2015 7:05 PM(et)
+170
-170
7.5p 
+160
-170
7.5o 
+160
-175
7.5p 
+160
-180
7.5o 
+156
-170
7.5p 
 
 917 MARINERS
 918 BLUEJAYS
5/22/2015 7:07 PM(et)
-145
+145
7.5p 
-149
+139
8o 
-152
+137
8p 
-145
+125
8u 
-149
+137
8o 
 
 919 ATHLETICS
 920 RAYS
5/22/2015 7:10 PM(et)
+140
-140
7o 
+127
-137
7u 
+128
-138
7u 
+120
-140
7u 
+129
-139
7u 
 
 921 ANGELS
 922 REDSOX
5/22/2015 7:10 PM(et)
-110
+110
8p 
+112
-122
8p 
+106
-116
8o 
+105
-125
8o 
+112
-121
8p 
 
 923 TWINS
 924 WHITESOX
5/22/2015 8:10 PM(et)
+140
-140
off 
+108
-118
7.5u 
+111
-121
7.5u 
+110
-130
7.5u 
+110
-120
7.5u 
 
 925 REDS
 926 INDIANS
5/22/2015 7:10 PM(et)
+140
-140
8p 
+157
-167
7u 
+149
-164
7p 
+140
-160
7o 
+154
-167
7u 
 
 927 ORIOLES
 928 MARLINS
5/22/2015 7:10 PM(et)
+105
-105
7.5p 
-114
+104
7.5u 
-120
+110
7.5u 
-120
even
7.5u 
-119
+109
7.5u 
 
 929 CARDINALS
 930 ROYALS
5/22/2015 8:10 PM(et)
+115
-115
7.5u 
-106
-104
7u 
-106
-104
7p 
-105
-115
7u 
-105
-105
7u 
 

No NFL games scheduled.

No College Football I-A games scheduled.

No College Basketball games scheduled.

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