If you’re like most recreational football bettors, you’re chomping at the bit to bet FAVORITES during this week’s dress rehearsal games in the NFL Preseason. All the teams are going to be trying for at least a half, and possibly up to three quarters. That means the BEST teams are going to dominate. Right?
While it’s true that favorites did go 10-6 ATS a year ago this week, that’s no guarantee we’ll see a replay in 2014. And, some of last year’s favorites covered in the fourth quarter (or in overtime) with backups.
Note that:Last year’s biggest dress rehearsal favorite…Denver -6.5 vs. St. Louis…barely won straight up 27-26 (after trailing 20-10 at halftime!)
Last year’s second most popular dress rehearsal betting team…Philadelphia -4 at Jacksonville…entered the fourth quarter trailing 24-16 before rallying for a fortunate cover.
Another favorite of -4, which is large for a Preseason game, Arizona…lost big to San Diego 24-7, missing the spread by three touchdowns.
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There will be some favorite blowouts this week. I may be releasing one or two of those myself! But, THE KING OF UNDERDOGS is always looking for upset specials in all sports. I can’t get specific about which teams I’m looking at because it wouldn’t be fair to paying clients. But, I can give you some general outlines for upset calls here in Week Three.Look for proven quarterbacks getting points vs. defenses who won’t blitz much. Dress rehearsal mode is much more about OFFENSES getting their timing down at full speed than it is about defenses showing all they’re capable of. Most defenses still keep things relatively simple…they just do that with energy into the second half. Quality quarterbacks are great to take plus the points in a dress rehearsal game, particularly in “first half” propositional betting.
Look for coaches with a proven history of dress rehearsal success who are getting points. Some coaches really do care about results in Week Three…or at least want to make sure they’re getting peak intensity and acceptable levels of execution. Year-to-year…underdog blowouts are usually driven by head coaches who were cracking the whip for that particular game. See if you can find who’s going to crack the whip.
Look for coaches of favorites to fade because they’ve proven they don’t care about winning the full 60 minutes decisively in Week Three. Some coaches, particularly veterans, want to see a good half from their first team…and they don’t care what happens after that. Maybe that team is laying -3 to -5 for the full game…and they win the first half 21-13 before losing outright. The coach considers it a success, but bettors backing his team are furious!
Look for underdogs who have a quality backup quarterback that can either seal a win for you in the fourth quarter…or who can rally from behind if needed. Oddsmakers and most bettors tend to focus on “starter vs. starter” for the dress rehearsals. More than a few games this week are likely to be determined by what happens in the fourth quarter with second-teamers. You STILL have to handicap the backups!
I’m not going to get any more specific than that. I can assure you that some very big releases are on tap for this week! I hope you’ll build your bankrolls with me in baseball between now and Thursday…and then swing for the fences in the NFL. You can always purchase game day BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my services best suits your individual needs, please talk to one of my representatives in the office at 1-877-ROOT-WINS.
Dress rehearsal week is always one of my favorites to attack. Interest here in Las Vegas really picks up because fans and recreational bettors know this is the closest thing to “real” football they’ve seen since the Super Bowl. “Dumb money” from the public creates opportunities so big you can drive a truck through them.
Don’t be part of the dumb money that’s recklessly chasing favorites. Find the best favorites AND underdogs on the board with the only man in the sports betting industry to have a star on the “Walk of Fame” in the gambling capital of the world. It’s time for YOU to go to W.A.R. alongside…WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!...